2010-11-18

Fertilizer Industry: Recent fertilizer thicker atmosphere watching the market

Text / Investment Advisor 

Into October, the domestic fertilizer prices continue to rise. According to related statistics, currently 45% (15:15:15) chlorine-based compound fertilizer factory price of the mainstream of about 2300-2400 yuan / ton, 45% (15:15:15)-based compound fertilizer factory price of the mainstream approximately 2550-2650 Yuan / ton. 

Investment Advisor in the chemical industry researcher Yi-Chi Chang pointed out that changes in fertilizer prices this year are relatively unusual, traditional boundaries of the off-season and the season is not very clear, the face of rising fertilizer prices, most dealers and manufacturers are has taken a wait and see attitude, the current small number of market transactions. 

According to the Investment Adviser's "2010-2015 China Fertilizer Market Investment Analysis and Forecast Report" shows that under normal circumstances, the fertilizer industry in the autumn after the end of the emergence of a market downturn. However, this period has yet to appear this year, but nitrogen, phosphate, potash, fertilizer and other fertilizer prices are up there in varying degrees. Particularly fertilizer market, price changes relative to previous years, faster frequency. 

Moreover, the markets in recent tax policy adjustment on the news of fertilizer also deepened the dealers wait and see mood. Yi-Chi Chang pointed out that the current domestic fertilizer prices remain high, a significant increase in fertilizer exports, the relevant state departments fertilizer market prices in order to avoid big fluctuations, the recent corresponding solutions are being discussed. For example, the recent National Development and Reform Commission has held a meeting of tariffs on fertilizer; Phosphate Fertilizer Industry Association in mid-November will host the first China-made high concentrations of phosphate and compound fertilizer production and marketing meetings. 

Investment Advisor in the Research Director Zhang Yan Lin pointed out that changes in market prices of fertilizer will be the recent trend of phosphate and compound fertilizer production and marketing in the clear after the meeting, fertilizer prices will be Dongchu late start, energy conservation, winter capacity tight, coal rising ammonia prices and other factors, the decline was not much room.

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